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Lower Thames Valley Conservation AuthorityLower Thames Valley Conservation Authority
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Shoreline Condition Statement – Flood Outlook – Lake Erie Shoreline, Erie Shore Dr. – June 20, 2021 – 6:00 PM

Home » Shoreline Condition Statement – Flood Outlook – Lake Erie Shoreline, Erie Shore Dr. – June 20, 2021 – 6:00 PM

Shoreline Condition Statement – Flood Outlook – Lake Erie Shoreline, Erie Shore Dr. – June 20, 2021 – 6:00 PM

June 20, 2021

Highlights:

• Strong Wind Warning in effect for western Lake Erie
• Forecasts calling for strong south or southwest winds that could begin overnight and last into Monday afternoon.
• Risk of shoreline damage and erosion all along the Lake Erie shoreline, including the high bluffs.
• Risk of flooding along Erie Shore Drive in Chatham-Kent

Message:

There is a Strong Wind Warning in effect for western Lake Erie.  Currently, winds are light across the region. Forecasts are predicting that winds will rise this evening and become southerly or southwesterly. Most forecasts suggest that sustained wind speeds will rise above 35 km/hr by Monday morning and peak wind speeds could reach as high as 45 km/hr before switching to the northwest in the afternoon. Wind speeds are predicted to drop Monday evening. Forecasts also suggest the possibility of rain and thunderstorms during this period. Wave forecasts suggest wave heights between 0.5 and 1.5 m.

Due to high lake levels, there is a risk that wave action could damage shoreline protection works and cause erosion all along the Lake Erie shoreline in Chatham-Kent and Elgin County, including along the high bluff areas.

There is also a risk of flooding along Erie Shore Drive in Chatham-Kent overnight tonight into Monday afternoon. Given current lake levels, the predicted winds speeds are high enough that there could be flooding along the road. Residents and workers in the area should be prepared for the possibility of flooding. There could also be impacts to other low-lying shoreline areas that have seen flooding over the last few years.

Currently, winds are not predicted be strong enough when they switch to the northwest to cause issues for the Lake St. Clair shoreline in the LTVCA jurisdiction.

People should take extra caution and avoid the shoreline should conditions get rough. The waves can be strong and the shoreline slippery. There could also be hazardous debris within the waves and water which could be thrown onto the shore. Standing water can also present unseen hazards. Children and animals should be kept away from the water.

Officials will continue to monitor the situation and update this advisory if necessary.

This message will be in effect until June 22, 2021.

Message Contact: Jason Wintermute ([email protected])

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