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Lower Thames Valley Conservation AuthorityLower Thames Valley Conservation Authority
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Flood Outlook – Lake Erie Shoreline, Erie Shore Drive – February 29, 2020 – 3:00 p.m.

Home » Flood Outlook – Lake Erie Shoreline, Erie Shore Drive – February 29, 2020 – 3:00 p.m.

Flood Outlook – Lake Erie Shoreline, Erie Shore Drive – February 29, 2020 – 3:00 p.m.

February 29, 2020

Highlights:

• Forecasts calling for moderate to strong southerly winds starting tomorrow morning and lasting through the day Monday.
• Some risk of shoreline damage, erosion and/or flooding along the Lake Erie shoreline, particularly along Erie Shore Drive.

Message:

Weather forecasts are calling for a couple days of southerly winds beginning tomorrow morning. Overnight winds are expected to switch through the southwest, ending up as southerly winds tomorrow morning, and then switching back to the southwest Sunday evening and remaining from that direction all day Monday. Down on Lake Erie, forecasts are generally calling for winds between 20 and 35 km/hr for the entire period of Sunday morning through to Monday evening. Waves in the nearshore area could reach up to 1 m in height.

While the forecast wind speeds would generally not be considered strong, they are predicted to remain southerly for a couple of days. There is a slight risk of shoreline damage and erosion all along the Lake Erie shoreline in Chatham-Kent and Elgin County. Along Erie Shore Drive in Chatham-Kent, there has been flooding at such low wind speeds and the long duration of southerly winds in the forecast could produce more flooding than would otherwise be expected. Residents should pay attention to local conditions and be prepared.

People should take extra caution and avoid the shoreline should conditions get rough. The waves can be strong and the shoreline slippery. There could also be hazardous debris within the waves and water which could be thrown onto the shore. Standing water can also present unseen hazards.

Officials will continue to monitor the situation and update this advisory if necessary.

This message will be in effect until March 3 , 2020.

Contact: Jason Wintermute ([email protected]) regarding this message.

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